Category Archives: Real Estate Investing

Bank Foreclosures: Where We Are, Where We Are Headed

Today I took some time to listen to a podcast of Gary Keller of Keller Williams Realty interviewing Rick Sharga of RealtyTrac.  Rick was talking about bank foreclosures and the like and where we are and where we will be heading.  RealtyTrac follows distressed property throughout the United States.  Here are some bullet points of what he had to say that caught my interest;

  • An all time high of 3.2 million homes will receive some sort of foreclosure notice this year, up from 2.8M last year.
  • 1.2M homes will be bank repossessed this year.
  • There are 5,000,000 homes seriously distressed in America right now!  That’s 5M homes in distress but not currently in foreclosure.
  • We should hit the peak of our foreclosure mess sometime in early 2012.
  • Doing the math, he says that in 2013 there will still be approx 1,000,000 homes distressed and in inventory that will need to be absorbed.
  • There is $1,000,000,000 of vanished equity!  That should take about another 3 years to be absorbed by homeowners, taxpayers and banks.

For those real estate investors out there with cash and/or credit the time is NOW!  But you have time.  Don’t panic.  Take your time and find the right properties.

 

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Filed under Kansas City Real Estate, Real Estate Investing

Rental Rates According to HotPads

Many of you know I’m a proponent of HotPads.com.   And if you are a member or have used HotPads you too may have received this email.  It’s very helpful.

Hi Chris,


I wanted to let you know HotPads.com just released its 2010 National Rental Housing Report and I thought you might find it interesting. You can find the analysis and interactive graphs here: http://hotpads.com/pages/housing-report-2011-01.htm

Here is what we saw in 2010 and expect to see in 2011:

– In 2010 Rental Prices increased by 11% and Home Prices dropped 9.8%.
– Rent-Buy Ratio dropped from 15.66 to 12.64, meaning conditions are improving in favor of buying.
– We expect to see foreclosed and long standing for sale properties re-enter the market as rentals in 2011,  should drive up supply and help ease rent prices.

We also have state level data, in case you are interested.

I hope you find this useful and please let me know if you have any questions!

Best wishes in the new year,

Paul

Paul
Director of Communications

Hotpads on Facebook & Twitter



Washington, DC. – January 6, 2011 – Rental prices across the US increased 11.6% in 2010, growing from a national average of $1181 in January 2010 to $1319 by December. The steady increase in rental prices was inversely matched by falling prices of homes for sale, which saw a 9.8% drop over the same period. 

The rental price increase is a factor of uncertainty in the US economic climate, which has forced a transition from a home buying mentality to one more in favor of renting. The growing number of homes lost to foreclosure in 2010 expanded the number of people seeking to rent, creating a renter surplus.

Further, with the US unemployment rate over 9% throughout 2010 (up from 4% in 2006), low risk housing options became more desirable, a trend which may continue in the coming months.

At the same time, HotPads expects to see foreclosed and long standing for sale properties re-enter the market as rentals, which should expand the rental supply, thereby helping ease rent prices. This represents an interesting contrast to the peak of the housing market in 2006, when rental units were being converted into for-sale condos.

The 2010 national rental market data is calculated from a sample of one million concurrently active rental prices on HotPads. These are averages of each state’s monthly median rental price weighted by the number of listings in that state.

About HotPads.com

With over 500,000 active rental listings and 4 million homes for sale, HotPads.com is one of the largest national housing resources in the market today. HotPads.com is the premier map-based real estate search engine, delivering the most interactive and personal housing search experience online.

 

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Filed under Property Management, Real Estate Investing

Temper Tantrum Over: But What’s The Reality?

If you read my post of a week ago titled I’m Frustrated and Fed Up you know I was throwing a major temper tantrum regarding the current condition of real estate in America today.   Over the past week I have been working the phones trying to get a handle on when all of this would settle down.  By all of this I mean;

  • the foreclosure freeze.
  • the financing hurdles real estate investors must go through.
  • the banks taking our tax dollars to turn around and screw us every chance they get.
  • whether or not to devote any of my future efforts to helping real estate investors buy and/or sell rental housing because I like to spend my time where I can be rewarded for my efforts.

(SIDE NOTE:  If I were an elected official in office right now I’d be really, really nervous. Democrat.  Republican. Doesn’t matter.  I think much of America is mad at you, big banks and and anyone else who just doesn’t seem to get what is going on out here.)

Almost as suddenly as the big banks (I like to say Bank of America but we all know that I’m including Chase, Wells Fargo, etc in the group, right?) froze foreclosures in my state (Kansas) and twenty-two others followed shortly by all 50, they are beginning to lift the freeze.  Bank of America announced yesterday that they would resume foreclosures in the 23 states (Kansas included) because their internal audits found no problems.   Can you actually believe that? Then they will no doubt begin in the other 27 shortly thereafter.

Then today, no doubt as a way to win public support or to quell anger, BOA announces they lost $7.78 billion last quarter.  Of course, if they actually did lose any money (accounting being what it is) I’m sure we the taxpayer will be more than happy to be forced to make up their losses again.  My favorite quote from the release:

“In a dramatic shift, the bank also said it will change its consumer banking strategy to focus on providing customers with incentives to do more business with the bank instead of generating revenue through penalty fees such as overdraft charges.”

Wow!  Imagine that!  A business trying to give the customers what they want and a fair service for a fair price instead of figuring out ways to make a bad situation worse.  Who could have thought of that?  (Answer:  Every surviving small business in America that hasn’t received any federal tax dollars.)

SO WHERE ARE WE NOW
I think we’re at least heading in the right direction as far as real estate investing is concerned.  If the foreclosure market opens back up then we can begin snatching up that inventory again.  But I do believe the damage is done.  There is so much confusion in the market right now and so much worry about where we are going that this will still have a downward effect for the short term.  That’s my opinion anyway.

That works to the real estate investor’s benefit.  If you are pre-approved or a cash buyer and you are ready to go…get ready to go.

 

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Filed under Financing Options, Real Estate Investing, Social Issues

Make Your Offer Reasonable, Please

Listen, I’m all for helping you get the very best deal possible when you are making an offer on an investment property. But let’s say a property is worth $150,000  ARV (after repair value) and work through a hypothetical, can we?

Repairs and updates are going to cost $25,000 and then there will be two months holding at about $1,100/mo and you’d like a little something something for the effort, say 18%.  So

150,000 –
25,000 –
2,200 –
3,000 –  (the “just-in-case” money) –
27,000 – (your something for the effort/risk)
__________

92,800 should be the sales price, more or less.

Now that is if you are an investor/flipper. You know how many properties sell for approximately 62% of retail value in the Kansas City MLS?  Right. Not many.

So there is another strategy and that’s the buy and hold investor.  Whether you are looking to live in for yourself or  to rent.  You can then decide what a number is that you can live with as your something something.  If it’s 10% of equity then we can get you the place around $105,000 or so.

The house that’s retail at $150,000 offered by a bank is probably for sale somewhere in the $125,000 range.  Broker’s Price Opinions nearly always account for repairs but seldom contingency funds and profit margins and holding costs.  Those you’ll have to negotiate away.

I guess where I get annoyed is when people try to subtract from the BPO price of $125,000 (or so) and come up with asking prices of $70,000 (or lower) for an ARV house at $150,000.  C’mon.  You know, I know and the bank knows that’s not going to happen. So why are you wanting me to write an offer?

EDITOR’S NOTE:  This is for a house in a neighborhood that’s in Johnson County, Kansas.  A desirable school district.  Less than 60 days on the market.  It’s gonna sell and it’s gonna sell in the $120,000’s or maybe the high teens.  Not $70,000 something.  🙂

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Filed under Real Estate Investing

Guru Rant: Here I Go Again!

I wasn’t going to post today.   I had a closing and a showing and a contract cancellation to deal with.  But I just got an email from a young man who wants to start real estate investing and he went to a guru (Rich Dad Poor Dad) seminar and said they wanted $35,000 for real estate investing education!!!!!!!!      AAArrrrggggghhhhhh.

Here is my response to him and to anyone thinking about real estate investing. Yes, you can build wealth.  Real wealth.  Yes, real estate is a land of opportunity…and danger…right now.  No, there is no free lunch.  Feel free to comment or argue with whatever I said.

****  ****  ****

While I am not familiar with the New Jersey market I was just out at Princeton with my son and saw for sale signs everywhere.  We are in the worst real estate crisis since the late ’70s and early ’80s.  But I can assure you that there are many realtors that make well into the six figure through hard work and perseverance.  $2,000 to start your own business and get started? That’s chump change compared to any other business you may want to start.  I know, I’ve owned (and still do) other businesses as well.

I do not work with “bottom feeding” real estate investors and they don’t want to work with me.  I believe in buying at discount (realistic discount, not the garbage you are fed at seminars and tape huckster events)  and building wealth slowly. You can read all you need to know about real life real estate investing on my blog at http://www.bbqcapital.com or at an associates blog at http://www.bawldguy.com.

The investors I work with don’t mind at all knowing I’m making a commission or consultant fee when I’m helping them to create equity positions of 10% or 20% or 30%.  They know professionals get paid for their time and expertise.

You need to understand how much mis-information and general grade BS there is in real estate investing.  Sure, anything can work once. But can you do it enough to be profitable?  Ask yourself this, is it more profitable to buy all these houses with no money down and “alternate financing” or is it more profitable to hold a seminar and charge would-be investors thousands and thousands of dollars to tell them how to do in mass what you haven’t been able to do more than a few times?

If their techniques work so well why are they not doing them?  And don’t give me this crap that they “love to teach.”  Robert Allen and Robert Kiyosaki and Carlton Sheets do far more harm than good.  (Insert rantings of the millions of followers who will tell me those guys are all wealthier than I am.  They are correct.  I refuse to charge $35,000 for “education” when I could take the client’s $35,000 and help them leverage themselves into a couple or several properties.)

Listen, I could go on and on and on.  You are doing the right thing by educating yourself before jumping in.  (Education is something Kiyosaki derides, am I correct?) Do yourself a favor, pick up a phone and call me.  My number is 913.568.1579.  Or call my friend and associate (and dare I say mentor) Jeff Brown over at BawldGuy.com and talk to him.

Or do some google research:

http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/RealEstate/NothingQuickAboutGettingRichWithRealEstate.aspx

I am not a “dream stealer.”  I’m a professional real estate agent and investment property counselor.  I work with first time investors and investors with portfolios of dozens of properties.  I don’t know anyone, personally, who has actually accumulated any wealth with no money down strategies and the like.  It will take money by you to actually be an investor.  It will take a lot of sweat, too.  And sometimes you have to be downright creative.

At your age if you get started with one, and then another you could retire a very wealthy young man.  But build with a real plan.  Not a pipe dream.

Give me a call.  I love talking real estate.

Chris Lengquist
Keller Williams Realty
913.568.1579

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Filed under Real Estate Investing

Radio Show Appearance

Looks like I’ll be on the radio in the morning on the Dan Reedy Show.  Check me out in Kansas City on station 1510 am at 9:00.

Call in and shake my tree.

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Filed under Real Estate Investing

Investment Property Worksheet

I use a very basic investment property worksheet that I acquired from Tom Lundstedt a few years ago. It’s simple and I can pencil out figures right in front of people so they can see how the numbers work (or don’t work) on any prospective rental property.

Yes.  Yes.  I know.  I too have used those fancy computer generated investment model programs.  But they are so stale and the sometimes you can’t see how the numbers were derived.  So I like this better.  And I fully realize that many real estate investors have many different formulas.  Funny thing is that the successful real estate investors may have different formulas but always end up with about the same calculations.

For the first time, I’m sharing a sample.  I always worried about sharing it.  But after years and years of investment property experience I realize it’s just a paper without the knowledge that goes with it.  So enjoy.

investment property worksheet

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Filed under 4 Benefits of Real Estate Investing, Investment Property, Real Estate Investing